Hi all,
I'll be travelling to Cambridge MA and NYC from 10/6 to 10/15. I'll be attending the Chinese Financial Association conference at MIT followed by the Financial Engineering Applications conference there, and then I'll be travelling to NYC for where I'll be attending the nightly seminars at NYU and Columbia. I was wondering if anyone on this list will also be present there. The things I'm working on right now are: 1) I'm trying to construct a model of Shanghai warrants using Levy processes, and this involves adding a fairly large chunk of code into QuantLib to handle PIDE's and FFT's. One specific problem that I have right now is that I'm trying to figure out how to use period minimum and maximum information to calibrate an option model. 2) I'm also interested in finding out what is being done with models of CNY non-deliverable swaps and non-deliverable options. In particular, now that the renminbi is being gradually unpegged, I'm curious what work is being done in modelling RMB exchange rates. In particular, I have a sense that the People's Bank of China is arranging the rates to make arbitrage intentionally difficult. The other thing that I'm curious about is how the coorelation between interest rates and exchange rates is being handled. 3) I have some thoughts on the long term general direction of Chinese industrial reform. In particular, I think one model for Chinese state ownership of industrial corporations is to move toward a "fund model" in which state agencies own and manage a portfolio of enterprises in much the same way that state in the United States pension funds manage their holdings. The way to develop this would be swaps between government entities to diversify ownership, and also mergers and accquisitions in which small enterprises would be ammalgamated into larger ones. Needless to say, this would call for expertise in fund management, mergers and accquisitions, which would present some opportunities for investment banks with that sort of experience. 4) On something completely different, if anyone has any ideas for how to develop wikis in Mainland China and deal with the wikipedia block, let me know. 5) Finally, I'd be interested in thoughts that anyone has on the market for quantitative analysts with interest/expertise in Chinese markets. Other random bits of information that would be useful to me a) a place in the United States to buy Chinese language books on PRC law and securities or books in general b) good introductions to German industrial and securities law Anyway if anyone is interested in these lets, just drop me an e-mail, or if anyone is really interested, my cell phone is listed on my home page...... Thanks Joseph http://www.gnacademy.org/joe http://twofish.wordpress.com/ |
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