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Inflation Question

Posted by Peter Caspers-4 on Mar 31, 2015; 11:30am
URL: http://quantlib.414.s1.nabble.com/Inflation-Question-tp16424.html

Inflation Experts,

the CPI Fixings für EUHICPXT for Dec 14 and Jan 15 are 117.01 and
115.13 respectively.

Looking at market quotes for a 1y zero coupon swap I see

27-03-2015 0.443
30-03-2015 0.433

so no bigger movements. However, evaluating the 1y swap as of these dates,

27-03-2015 + 2bd = 31-03-2015 minus 3m lag => 31-12-14 => Base Fixing
= Dec Fixing = 117.01
30-03-2015 + 2bd = 01-04-2015 minus 3m lag => 01-01-2015 => Base
Fixing = Jan Fixing = 115.01

which would mean that the CPI projection changes drastically.

I have the feeling that I am getting a convention wrong here. Can someone help ?

Thanks
Peter

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